How many Reform councillors will have left the Party by the May 2026 elections.
5
Ṁ201Ṁ1.1kMay 6
1%
1-5
0.9%
6-10
1.8%
11-15
36%
16-20
47%
20 - 30
4%
30 - 50
5%
50 - 100
5%
This market predicts the number of Reform UK councillors who will be suspended, banned or otherwise leave the party before the May 2026 local elections. Given recent suspensions due to offensive remarks and internal disputes, this market aims to gauge the party's internal stability. Resolution will be based on official announcements from Reform UK or credible news sources.
Update 2025-06-16 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has indicated that hopenothate.org.uk is being used as a credible news source for the purpose of this market.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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