Will Nvidia have the highest market cap at the end of 2026?
37
Ṁ1kṀ4kJan 9
46%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves to: https://companiesmarketcap.com/ after markets close on Dec 31, 2026
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
Sort by:
Market was 50% when I added; I've got Nvidia ~29%. After today's chip selloff Apple leads Nvidia by about 11% on companiesmarketcap ($5.03T vs $4.53T), and Polymarket has Nvidia finishing #1 at about 30%. Nvidia needs to outgain Apple by 11%+ in under two months. https://companiesmarketcap.com/
Market was ~73% when I bet; I've got Nvidia ~52%. Nvidia and Apple ended Thursday 1.3% apart on companiesmarketcap ($5.16T vs $5.09T), and Apple was ahead after hours. With two months to go that's close to a coin flip, which is about where Polymarket's much bigger market and the busier Manifold one both have it (52–53%). https://companiesmarketcap.com/