This market predicts whether the margin of victory in Poland's presidential runoff election on June 1, 2025, will be less than 1%. The first round held on May 18, 2025, resulted in a narrow lead for Rafał Trzaskowski over Karol Nawrocki. The market resolves to 'YES' if the official results from the National Electoral Commission show a margin of victory under 1%. Otherwise, it resolves to 'NO'.