Will the S&P500 be within 1% of all time high at the end of Dec 2025?
8
Ṁ100Ṁ1.4kresolved Dec 31
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Resolution criteria
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the S&P 500 Index's closing value on Nov 30, 2025, is within 1% of its all-time high.
If the market reaches a new all time high, that will be what the market must be within 1% of for the market to resolve to "Yes." If the closing value falls outside this range, the market will resolve to "No.". If the market closes exactly 1% below all time high this will resolve to 50%
AH trading cannot and will not be counted, it does not have anything to do with final close
Update 2025-10-13 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): "Within 1%" means: closing value > 0.99 × all-time high
(Not: 1.01 × closing value > all-time high)
[AI additions after this are not necessarily correct]
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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