Will the S&P500 be within 1% of all time high at the end of July 2025?
27
Ṁ100Ṁ4.1kresolved Jul 31
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolution criteria
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the S&P 500 Index's closing value on July 31, 2025, is within 1% of its all-time high. The all-time high, as of Jul 14, 2025, is $626.87. Therefore if the market were to close below $620.60, this would resolve NO. If the market reaches a new all time high, that will be what the market must be within 1% of for the market to resolve to "Yes." If the closing value falls outside this range, the market will resolve to "No.". If the market closes exactly 1% below all time high this will resolve to 50%
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
🏅 Top traders
| # | Trader | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ465 | |
| 2 | Ṁ346 | |
| 3 | Ṁ99 | |
| 4 | Ṁ91 | |
| 5 | Ṁ82 |
People are also trading
Will the S&P500 be within 1% of all time high at the end of Feb 2026?
50% chance
Will the S&P 500 index reach a new all-time high in 2027?
72% chance
Will the S&P 500 index reach a new all-time high in 2029?
68% chance
Will the S&P 500 index reach a new all-time high in 2028?
71% chance
Will the S&P 500 index reach a new all-time high in 2030?
66% chance
Sort by:
bought Ṁ117 NO
Crazy this was still so high when it just dipped into no (anything 633.45 or less on close right now)
People are also trading
Related questions
Will the S&P500 be within 1% of all time high at the end of Feb 2026?
50% chance
Will the S&P 500 index reach a new all-time high in 2027?
72% chance
Will the S&P 500 index reach a new all-time high in 2029?
68% chance
Will the S&P 500 index reach a new all-time high in 2028?
71% chance
Will the S&P 500 index reach a new all-time high in 2030?
66% chance