MANIFOLD
Will a direct military conflict happen between Iran and Israel before 1 April 2026?
12
Ṁ100Ṁ988
Mar 31
96%
chance

Resolves YES if Iran and Israel directly attack each other (missiles, drones, or military strikes) before the date. Resolves NO otherwise

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Are they not currently directly attacking each other?

@ZenSpam They are, & have been the entire time this market has existed

sold Ṁ20 YES

YES. I think Iran and Israel will continue active military actions before 1 April 2026.

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