How many people will claim UK asylum for the year ending December 2024?

Extended to end of Feb - no change to the criteria it’s just because it will take a while to be released and no harm in the market being open during that time.

4mo

This market will be resolved quite a few months after close date, to be clear, as the report is issued later on in the year.

4mo

Something's not right lol

8mo

Due to the way in which the government releases this data, this question will close on December 31st but may not resolve until the following march.

8mo

Latest release up to march 2024: https://www.gov.uk/government/statistics/immigration-system-statistics-year-ending-march-2024

bought Ṁ0 YES5mo

@LukeShadwell Looks like this is the most relevant graph, seems to be increasing again, possibly due to the Israel-Gaza War

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Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.

Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.

Are our predictions accurate?

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Why use play money?

Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.

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