Will Oregon have more marijuana thefts in May than in April?

140Ṁ817

resolved May 30

Resolved

YES

ALL

Background

The Oregon Liquor and Cannabis Commission provides a dashboard about documented theft activity at OLCC Recreational Marijuana Program licensed locations. Recently there has been a decline in activity, but will it spike again later this year?

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Market Resolution

This is a prediction market. Market will close 31 May and resolve in June when all data has been reported.

Market will resolve YES if the total number of documented theft incidents in May is higher than April.

Market will resolve NO if the total number of documented theft incidents in May is less than or equal to April.

Data Source: OLCC Theft Activity Dashboard

Disclaimer

I do not bet in markets I create. In the event that I am unable or unavailable to resolve the market, the market may be resolved by Manifold Mods. Any changes to the market description will be noted in the change log.

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Based on data, there have already been more thefts in May than April so imma resolve this market YES

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What is this?

What is Manifold?

Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.

Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.

Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.

Are our predictions accurate?

Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.

Why use play money?

Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.

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