
I failed to get to 30 in 2024, but will give it a go in 2025. I will bet 5,000 mana at 75%.
Resolution Criteria
This market will resolve YES if I publish at least 30 unique Substack posts during the calendar year 2025 (January 1, 2025 - December 31, 2025).
A post counts if it is published on my personal Substack (https://luispedro.substack.com/), but not on any other venue
The market will resolve NO if:
- Fewer than 30 posts are published during 2025 
- I delete my Substack account before the end of 2025 
- Posts are published but later deleted, bringing the total below 30 
Considerations
- This requires an average of 2.5 posts per month 
- Posts written in 2025 but scheduled for 2026 will not count 
- If my account is suspended by Substack, the market will resolve based on the number of posts published before suspension 
Ongoing thread: https://x.com/luispedrocoelho/status/1876841267155386839
Right now I'm at 7/30, which is slightly below the required pace.