The term of Filippo Grandi, the current High Commissioner for Refugees (head of the UN refugee agency, UNHCR) ends at the end of 2025. Who will succeed him?

I have compiled a list of nominated candidates with some chance of making it, according to this article:

https://refugeehistory.org/blog/2025/10/9/the-unhcr-conclave-has-anything-changed-in-25-years

I will not bet on this market.

• Update 2025-12-12 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Market will resolve only when the new High Commissioner officially takes office, not when they are announced or nominated.