Louvre thief caught by EOY 2025?
25
100Ṁ1923
Jan 1
98.4%
chance

Based on the recent October 19, 2025 Louvre heist where thieves stole eight pieces of French crown jewels in a seven-minute operation, this market predicts whether the perpetrators will be apprehended by January 31, 2026. About 60 investigators are working on the case, showing "total determination" to find those responsible. As of Monday morning, police had not yet said whether they had any leads on the possible identities of the suspects. The CGI Group, an Israeli security firm, has been brought in to work on the case. The CGI Group gained notoriety in 2019 when it helped solve the Dresden Green Vault burglary, where jewelry and diamonds worth more than $130 million were stolen from the Dresden Castle in Germany.

Resolves YES if any of the four suspects from the October 19, 2025 Louvre heist are arrested and charged by January 31, 2026. Resolution based on official announcements from French authorities or credible news reports from major outlets like BBC, Reuters, AP, or French media.

  • Update 2025-10-22 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market will resolve based on arrests/charges by January 1, 2026 (not January 31, 2026 as stated in the description).

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Is "by Jan 31 2026" a mistake considering the title says EOY 2025?

Also, please clarify what "charged" means.

@mhmarket Oh it's actually 1 Jan 2026 so roughly in line with the statement EOY 2025.

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