• Update 2025-03-20 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Resolution Criteria Clarification:

  • The market will resolve by a poll after the next public meltdown by Elon Musk.

  • A qualifying meltdown must be public and captured on camera or recorded in media (excluding Twitter).

  • This determination will be based on the perception of it being a very public, unhinged meltdown.

• Update 2025-03-22 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Clarification to the 'Other' Option:

  • The Other option is defined as any point in time not covered by the other specific options.

• Update 2025-03-23 (PST): - Meltdown Timing: The qualifying meltdown for 'He already did' must have occurred prior to market creation. (AI summary of creator comment)

• Update 2025-06-30 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has stated the market will not be fully resolved after the first qualifying meltdown. Instead, the market will remain open until its close date in 2029.

  • If a qualifying meltdown occurs, it may trigger a partial resolution for that time period.

  • This allows for the possibility of multiple partial resolutions for different answers over the lifetime of the market.

Dear @traders, at the suggestion of @Quroe, I temporarily unlisted the market as the poll is underway to prevent market manipulation. However, that seems to have deleted all the comments. Would appreciate if @mods can work on this issue.

This is the poll in question:

https://manifold.markets/Lorelai/did-musks-early-june-implosion-coun

Update July 3: Market is listed again, will remain open for now.