Will any Manifest attendees be elected to public office in 2026 or earlier?
5
100Ṁ545
2027
91%
chance

This question will resolve yes if at least 1 Manifest 2024 attendee is elected to a government position by the end of 2026. It will resolve no otherwise.

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9mo

How come this is so high? Are there any specific candidates bettors think will be elected?

I'm not sure. Simone Collins is running, but not sure who would actually stand a chance. But the question is so broad, someone could run for some local race and that would resolve this yes.

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