Will "Deep atheism and AI risk" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
4
Ṁ120Ṁ219Feb 10
98%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts. Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2024 Review resolves in February 2026.
This market will resolve to 100% if the post Deep atheism and AI risk is one of the top fifty posts of the 2024 Review, and 0% otherwise. The market was initialized to 14%.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will "Shallow review of technical AI safety, 2025" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
14% chance
Will "Planning for Extreme AI Risks" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
14% chance
Will "AI 2027: Responses" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
13% chance
Will "AI Control May Increase Existential Risk" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
15% chance
Will "2025 in AI predictions" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?
13% chance
Will "2024 in AI predictions" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
5% chance
Will "The Case Against AI Control Research" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
69% chance
Will "The Sorry State of AI X-Risk Advocacy, and Th..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
11% chance
Will "Checking in on AI-2027" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
10% chance
Will "AI Doomerism in 1879" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
14% chance