MANIFOLD
Will my apartment complex's hot tub re-open in 2025?
10
Ṁ100Ṁ293
resolved Jan 1
Resolved
NO

On January 2nd, 2025, my apartment complex's hot tub and pool was closed.

The pool re-opened on April 8th, but without the hot tub re-opening.

Hot tub repairs began on September 2nd to September 6th, then resumed on September 22nd.

On October 16th, I got this email:
"Repairs are going well, but there is still a lot to be done. Unfortunately, we don't have an exact date for when the hot tub will be fixed. We're hoping that everything will be up and running in the next few weeks, we will open everything back up as soon as we possibly can. "

On November 21 they announced the hot tub would be open on December 1st.

On December 2nd they announced the hot tub would be open on December 12th.

On December 13th I checked and the hot tub was empty and closed.

What are the chances this gets resolved before January 1st 2026?


  • Update 2025-12-31 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has stated that even though there is water in the hot tub, it is cold and it is thermodynamically impossible for it to reach temperature before the market closes on December 31st, 2025. This means the market will resolve NO.

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There is water in the pool but it is cold, so it is thermodynamically impossible for it to reach temperature before the close.

Follow-up market that NO holders may enjoy, when it might open in 2026 if it does not resolve this year:
https://manifold.markets/LarsOsborne/when-will-my-apartment-complexs-hot

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