Last year's market:
https://manifold.markets/LBeesley/will-fewer-than-42-total-games-be-p?r=TEJlZXNsZXk
Same rules apply. I'll send up the final number of games played market right before the World Series.
Link to that market: https://manifold.markets/LBeesley/what-will-be-the-final-total-number?r=TEJlZXNsZXk
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| # | Trader | Total profit |
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@MRME you’re right.
29 GP in previous series
LCS count is up to 7 GP with min set for 10 GP if two teams win out (LA completing the sweep and either of the two teams win two more)
World Series cannot officially complete with 3 games played, so yes, this resolves NO.
Wild card series - 11 GP
Division series - 18 GP
Total LCS games: 8-14
Total WS games: 4-7
Min range: 41
Max range: 60
Oof. I might have to switch this market to multiple choice next season, because 41 assumes all three remaining series will be sweeps. Only one series will be allowed to go to 5 for this to resolve YES.
Edit to add: I will resolve this market prior to the World Series if, mathematically, it is impossible to player fewer than 43 games (both LCS project to go to 5 or more games).
After the conclusion of the division series, I’ll draw up the possibilities for the LCS and World Series. With the wins last night, both AL series can still go to 5 with the potential to clinch tonight for either the Blue Jays, Mariners, or both.
Similarly, the Dodgers and Brewers could clinch a sweep or face a fairly horrible meltdown if they go on to lose three straight in either case.