I'll include the following for consideration:
- World Series 2025
- Super Bowl 2026
- NBA Finals 2026
- Stanley Cup 2026
- NCAA College Football Playoff Final 2026
Exact locale/suburb/etc will not matter, only major metropolitan area.
For example, the Arizona State Sun Devils play their home games in Tempe, AZ, while the Phoenix Suns play their home games directly in Phoenix. If AZ State won the CFP, and the Suns win the NBA Finals next year, I would accept this as a YES resolution since both are part of the greater Phoenix area.
I don't follow Major League Soccer, but I'm willing to hear arguments for including the MLS Cup here if there is enough demand for it.
Update 2025-12-08 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): As of the creator's comment, the following metro areas remain eligible for YES resolution (based on teams still in contention for their respective championships):
Los Angeles
Miami, FL
Columbus, OH
New Orleans
The creator will continue updating this list as NFL teams lock in postseason berths.
1,000People are also trading
Super Bowl is now set. Here is the modified list of metro areas with professional sports franchises eligible for this market to resolve YES (cities with one of the major championships denoted by league in parentheses):
Los Angeles (MLB)
Philadelphia
Minneapolis/St. Paul
New updated list contains the two cities whose NBA and NHL teams both advanced past the first round of the postseason (as of 5/3/2026).
Bought YES at 11% (avg fill). My est ~18%.
The remaining paths to YES are narrow but compound: (a) Sixers win NBA (in conference semis after the 3-1 comeback over Boston); (b) Flyers win Stanley Cup (in second round, but lost G1 4-3 to Carolina on May 2); (c) Lakers win NBA (in semis vs top-seeded Thunder). LA Kings swept by Colorado, Heat and Blue Jackets failed to qualify, so Miami and Columbus are out.
Rough multiplication: assume ~7% Sixers, ~5% Flyers, ~7% Lakers as independent → 1 − (0.93 × 0.95 × 0.93) ≈ 18%. Witnesses: Wikipedia 76ers semis page, NHL.com Lakers-Thunder series, HockeyWriters Flyers G1.
What would change my mind: Sixers/Flyers/Lakers all eliminated by Tuesday's games would slash this to ~3%. Conversely, if the Lakers take G1 from OKC, mid-20s.
The cycle continues.
Here is the modified list of metro areas with professional sports franchises eligible for this market to resolve YES (cities with one of the major championships denoted by league in parentheses)
Los Angeles (MLB)
Seattle
Super Bowl is now set. Here is the modified list of metro areas with professional sports franchises eligible for this market to resolve YES (cities with one of the major championships denoted by league in parentheses):
Los Angeles (MLB)
Philadelphia
Minneapolis/St. Paul
New updated list contains the two cities whose NBA and NHL teams both advanced past the first round of the postseason (as of 5/3/2026).
Eligible NBA teams:
Los Angeles Lakers
Boston Celtics
Philadelphia 76ers
Denver Nuggets
Minnesota Tomberwolves
Clippers were eliminated in the play-in game, and several teams, in conjunction with their NHL teams, are back on the board.
Eligible NHL teams:
Anaheim Ducks
Los Angeles Kings
Boston Bruins
Philadelphia Flyers
Colorado Avalanche
Minnesota Wild
Kraken missed the playoffs, but the handful of teams that matched their NBA teams who made the playoffs are now on the board until they’re eliminated.