Which of my predictions will reward the most mana to other users?
2
Ṁ375Ṁ144resolved Nov 23
ResolvedN/A
14%
Earn Mana doing analytic philosophy with @RobinHanson - https://manifold.markets/Krantz/what-is-robin-hansons-confidence-in?r=S3JhbnR6
12%
Earn Mana finding the most important fact - https://manifold.markets/Krantz/what-is-the-most-valuable-propositi?r=S3JhbnR6
12%
Earn Mana for finding Jesus - https://manifold.markets/Krantz/what-would-jesus-believe?r=S3JhbnR6
10%
Earn Mana for checking all facts - https://manifold.markets/Krantz/krantz-mechanism-demonstration?r=S3JhbnR6
8%
Earn Mana identifying good podcasts - https://manifold.markets/Krantz/which-podcastlectures-will-i-believ?r=S3JhbnR6
7%
Earn mana identifying what video I think is most important to watch. - https://manifold.markets/Krantz/what-will-i-believe-is-the-most-imp?r=S3JhbnR6
7%
Earn Mana finding evidence of aliens - https://manifold.markets/Krantz/if-nhi-disclosure-goes-well-what-wi?r=S3JhbnR6
7%
Earn Mana identifying who believes the government is hiding aliens - https://manifold.markets/Krantz/which-public-figures-will-declare-t?r=S3JhbnR6
6%
Earn Mana aligning humanity - https://manifold.markets/Krantz/who-are-you-aligned-with?r=S3JhbnR6
6%Other
4%
Earn Mana for blowing the whistle on JFK - https://manifold.markets/Krantz/who-actually-shot-jfk?r=S3JhbnR6
1.9%
Earn mana identifying literally any of my beliefs. - https://manifold.markets/Krantz/guessing-game-what-propositions-doe?r=S3JhbnR6
1.9%
Earn mana identifying where I should work. - https://manifold.markets/Krantz/where-will-i-be-truly-happy-working?r=S3JhbnR6
1.4%
Earn mana identifying who will explain to me why GOFAI can't scale. - https://manifold.markets/Krantz/who-will-successfully-convince-kran?r=S3JhbnR6
1.3%
Earn mana identifying properties of my next parner. - https://manifold.markets/Krantz/what-will-be-true-about-the-next-wo?r=S3JhbnR6
I have an array of predictions that are designed to reward mana to those that help me align them. This prediction is aimed at identifying which one will reward the most overall mana to other users. This prediction will resolve to the prediction that distributed the largest amount of my mana to other users (the sum of how much I lose plus any profit that I gift back to participants).
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