Will an EscaPADE Spacecraft reach Mars?
12
170Ṁ354
Dec 24
69%
chance

Resolves true if a single EscaPADE spacecraft reaches a highly elliptical orbit around Mars, as reported by NASA. Resolves false otherwise. A flyby where the spacecraft does not achieve orbit around Mars does not count.

https://nssdc.gsfc.nasa.gov/nmc/spacecraft/display.action?id=ESCAPADE

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How will this resolve if the mission does not launch?

@miles NO

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