
The market will resolve upon confirmation of each answer by Blue Origin (either through social media, press release, or official livestream). For it to count as the "first launch," New Glenn must liftoff from the pad.
Update 2025-12-01 (PST): - Resolution Update:
The market will be resolved as YES due to a 30-minute delay. (AI summary of creator comment)
Update 2025-12-01 (PST): - Any scrub or delay counts. (AI summary of creator comment)
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@DanHomerick Any scrub or delay counts!
Here's official confirmation from Blue: https://x.com/blueorigin/status/1878682371291271519
The pathfinder will remain onboard New Glenn’s second stage for the duration of an expected six-hour mission.
https://www.blueorigin.com/news/blue-ring-pathfinder-payload?utm_source=chatgpt.com
How did this market not include first stage landing? 😭
@LarsOsborne Each milestone will be resolved based on confirmation (or lack thereof) from Blue Origin.