Who will be first to AGI | Manifold

Who will be first to AGI

37

1.3kṀ1621

2050

31%

OpenAI

9%

Microsoft

6%

Meta

4%

Huggingface/homegrown

28%

Google

12%

US government

5%

China government

1.7%

Russia government

1.8%

Apple

1.9%

AGI is impossible

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Will we get AGI before 2026?

Will we get AGI before 2027?

Will we get AGI before 2032?

Will we get AGI before 2030?

Will we get AGI before 2028?

Will we get AGI before 2031?

Will we get AGI before 2033?

Who will lead the AGI race end of 2025?

In what year will we achieve AGI?

When is AGI coming?

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Missing DeepSeek

Huffing the copium

Does it resolve to AGI is impossible if AGI is possible but not achieved by 2050?

@ProjectVictory Yes

There are a few answers >10% that are missing

What happens if multiple work together?

Would "other" be worthy of being an option?

@Quroe the question is which of these companies will be first out of these companies listed

People are also trading

Will we get AGI before 2026?

Will we get AGI before 2027?

Will we get AGI before 2032?

Will we get AGI before 2030?

-5% 1d53% chance

Will we get AGI before 2028?

+3% 1d36% chance

Will we get AGI before 2031?

-4% 1d62% chance

Will we get AGI before 2033?

Who will lead the AGI race end of 2025?

In what year will we achieve AGI?

When is AGI coming?

Related questions

Will we get AGI before 2026?

Will we get AGI before 2027?

Will we get AGI before 2032?

Will we get AGI before 2030?

Will we get AGI before 2028?

Will we get AGI before 2031?

Will we get AGI before 2033?

Who will lead the AGI race end of 2025?

In what year will we achieve AGI?

When is AGI coming?

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