MANIFOLD
Will there be a new schism in the Roman Catholic Church during the Papacy of Francis?
6
Ṁ167Ṁ1.5k
resolved Apr 21
Resolved
NO

Will some reputable media which includes but is not limited to mainstream catholic publications, see a new schism existing in the Roman Catholic Church while Francis is pope?

Will extend market to such a time as Francis either dies or resigns from the papacy, at which points will resolve NO there having been no extant new schism. If there IS a schism before that, will immediately it is reported on, resolve YES.

Will inject 67 mana liquidity, and as usual, will not trade myself.

  • Update 2025-23-01 (PST): - An anti-pope with any serious following would qualify even if the term "schism" is not explicitly used by the media. (AI summary of creator comment)

Market context
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#TraderTotal profit
1Ṁ53
2Ṁ37
3Ṁ20
4Ṁ20
5Ṁ5
Sort by:
bought Ṁ750 NO

Pope Franciscus died

How big does the schism need to be? Like the orthodox or protestant schisms where like >1/10 of the church split off? Or does a single priest count?

@TheAllMemeingEye according to reputable media, like it says on the tin

@TheAllMemeingEye To clarify, an anti-pope with any serious following, would qualify even if the specific word schism was not mentioned.

@JussiVilleHeiskanen follow-up questions: which media is reputable? what counts as a serious following?

© Manifold Markets, Inc.TermsPrivacy