MANIFOLD
Will December 2025 General Elections in Myanmar be free and fair?
6
Ṁ100Ṁ197
resolved Jan 10
Resolved
NO

Resolves primarily upon reported assessments by ODIHIR, secondarily those of Carter Center, and if neither becomes available in a timely manner, my good faith effort at evaluating wider international consensus, which if those bodies do not make a clear statement, may be a percentage resolution. I will not trade in this market.

Update: I will extend the market to cover the latter stage of the election, with the proviso, that if the monitoring organizations mentioned above judge the first stage to not be free and fair, that is sufficient for a NO resolution.

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@traders I have updated the market description in light of the elections being divided into stages. TLDR, will extend the market, but if the first stage fails, that is enough for NO

@SaviorofPlant That is such a resounding report from a respectable source, that will resolve. Inconceivable ODIHIR or Carter Center reports in coming months will disagree

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