MANIFOLD
#1 searched Person on Google this year? (2025)
68
Ṁ317Ṁ15k
resolved Dec 5
100%99.0%
Other
0.8%
Pope Leo XIV
0.2%
Donald Trump
0.1%
Elon Musk

This market resolves based on the individual ranked #1 in the “People” section of Google’s official Year in Search 2025 – Global list. Google’s report includes multiple sections such as Searches, News, Passings, and People — only the People section applies to this market. If Liam Payne is #1 in “Searches” but Donald Trump is #1 in “People,” the market resolves Yes to Donald Trump. Note: this event is mutually exclusive.

  • Update 2025-10-25 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Google's Year in Search rankings are based on search interest growth ("trending"), not total search volume.

  • A person can be searched millions of times every year (like Donald Trump or Taylor Swift) and still not rank #1, because Google is measuring momentum — how much their search interest increased versus the previous year.

  • Someone who experiences a sudden global event (e.g., Damar Hamlin in 2023, Johnny Depp in 2022, Alec Baldwin in 2021) can top the list due to a large relative spike, even if their total searches are lower overall.

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@creator, @mods pls resolve for other (d4vd was most searched).

this market is completely insane. unclear mechanics, clear n/a

@notrealDonaldTrump what is unclear? Other wins, as Elon Musk, Pope or trump didn’t win

@JulienWeeks resolves other. D4vd won

@Jack0 nevermind they took the page down

@creator ready to resolve now

bought Ṁ500 NO

The problem is that since this is not the real "Other" option it won't give you mana on newly added options, and it obviously won't resolve to this.

@notrealDonaldTrump I cannot add other options and I am not sure if @JulienWeeks will add more names. If he doesn't add more names, then maybe other will be resolved yes?

@notrealDonaldTrump To my knowledge, options named "Other" are never resolved Yes

bought Ṁ25 YES

I struggle to see how it could end up being Pope Leo.

@Xiphias not sure just basing it off of Kalshi odds

@Xiphias Google’s rankings are actually based on search interest growth (“trending”), not total searches.

bought Ṁ10 NO

Bullish on Pope Leo 👍

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