Trump approval rating 43.1% or higher on December 1st?
50
1kṀ5414
Dec 2
20%
chance
3

Market will resolve to YES if 43.1% or higher of Americans approve of Donald Trump's performance dated December 1st, 2025 on Nate Silver's approval tracker located here at Silver Bulletin: https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin

Notes:

  • Previous market closed at approval rating of 43.1%.

  • Data will be checked as soon as possible after the market closes, typically within a few hours, but 24 hours at most.

  • If the approval dips below 43.1% at some point, but rises back above by December 1st, the market will still resolve to YES.

  • In the unlikely event that the Silver Bulletin tracker is no longer available or updated, the RCP tracker here will be used as a substitute: https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/approval/donald-trump/approval-rating

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