Will there be a war between Iran and Pakistan before 2030? | Manifold

Will there be a war between Iran and Pakistan before 2030?

25

Ṁ190Ṁ971

2029

40%

chance

1H

6H

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Resolves YES if there is a Wikipedia page called something like 202X Iran-Pakistan War (MUST contain the word war)

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2024_Iranian_missile_strikes_in_Pakistan

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bought Ṁ30 YES

@JoshuaWilkes how does this market resolve if a Baloch state secedes and/or is created from current Pakistani and Iranian territory?

@Hakari resolves strictly to the description

bought Ṁ30 YES

I think the Taliban will stage a provocation and Pakistan will respond in a way that includes taking Iranian territory.

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