hi @JoshuaWilkes

Can you clarify when do the second term start for you?

I assume "Donald Trump's second and current tenure as the President of the United States began upon his inauguration as the 47th president on January 20, 2025." Second presidency of Donald Trump - Wikipedia

I ask because I see France at 90%, but his visit was in December 2024, after the elections but before the official inauguration as 47th president. As you haven't resolved France as YES yet, I assume you count only the trips after January 20th, but a confirmation would be appreciated.

@MiguelLM yes, only trips after his inauguration

@JoshuaWilkes Live updates: Trump in South Korea for meeting with Lee Jae Myung and Xi Jinping, as government shutdown stretches into 29th day | CNN Politics

Hi @JoshuaWilkes

you can resolve YES for Netherlands, UK, Israel and Egypt already.

and United Arab Emirates

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-14703105/amp/Donald-Trump-make-flying-visit-UK-TONIGHT.html

Trump landed in the UK for refueling. The plane landed, so it should count as physically crossing over the terrestrial territory. Obviously flyovers shouldn't count, but this is no flyover.

@Mana I actually don't consider that this counts, (he didn't leave the aircraft nor the airbase/aeroport it seems) and we are basically lucky that the chances he won't visit the UK across his term are low enough that the option is still well-priced.

@JoshuaWilkes Hmm, okay. The Polymarket market on this resolved to Yes based on this, but your market your call :)

@JoshuaWilkes https://polymarket.com/event/which-countries-will-donald-trump-visit-in-2025/will-donald-trump-visit-china-in-2025-1

@JoshuaWilkes He visited Italy and Vatican when pope died and now landed in Saudi Arabia.

You can resolve these options to YES now.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/live/cewgn4jnkd2t?post=asset%3A42238f6f-1531-4835-a683-423e54d82bda#post

She says Trump has accepted an official visit to Rome, which she mentioned earlier.

Next 3 g20 meetings are scheduled and they always come to Canada once. And Trump is for sure coming to see Pierre. And visa versa.

Canada, Italy, South Africa, and Brazil are locks.