When will the Long March 10 rocket first reach orbit? | Manifold

When will the Long March 10 rocket first reach orbit?

5

Ṁ320Ṁ97

2028

1H

6H

1D

1W

1M

ALL

14%

-2025

30%

2026

32%

2027

24%

2028-

The Long March 10 is an evolution of the Long March 5 and is primarily intended to enable China's crewed lunar landings

Update 2025-08-19 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - Long March 10A counts: The market includes the Long March 10A variant. If the 10A is the first to reach orbit, resolution will use that date.

Market context

Space exploration

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I am interpreting the previously written description to include the Long March 10A.

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