Will a Republican win the US presidential election in 2024?/Will a Republican win the US presidential election in 2028?
18
Ṁ300Ṁ1.6k2028
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
40%
A Republican wins in 2024 and a Republican wins in 2028
58%
A Republican wins in 2024 and a Republican does not win in 2028
0.9%
A Republican loses in 2024 and a Republican wins in 2028
1%
A Republican loses in 2024 and a Republican loses in 2028
Resolves to the correct combination of these events. This is an experiment to see how much people think the whitehouse is a "metronome" that is inclined to swing from one party to the other.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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