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MANIFOLD
Will a pandemic kill >75% of the peak pre-pandemic world population before 2100?
5
Ṁ90Ṁ207
2100
9%
chance

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Pandemic
Non-AI Doom composite
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People would adapt to extreme pandemics with extreme countermeasures. Something as contagious as covid but 90% lethal wouldn’t do the job. And even that is probably outside the Pareto frontier of bioweapon design given current technology.

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