Atmospheric PPM CO2 in 2050
Atmospheric PPM CO2 in 2050
8
310Ṁ219
2051
477
expected

Climate
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1y

https://gmd.copernicus.org/articles/13/3571/2020/

I'm uncertain whether continued economic growth is even possible until even 2050, but I haven't seen another model that features some type of forced degrowth from conflict or exceeding planetary boundaries, so I'll rely on SSP4-3.4 from the above for now. If some one provides a paper with a scenario matching my geopolitical and other expectations (growth limited by rising material-energy costs), I will update. Until then, I will bet according to table 5 with SSP4-3.4, which is 472.9 ppm.

The shared socio-economic pathway (SSP) greenhouse gas concentrations and their extensions to 2500
Abstract. Anthropogenic increases in atmospheric greenhouse gas concentrations are the main driver of current and future climate change. The integrated assessment community has quantified anthropogenic emissions for the shared socio-economic pathway (SSP) scenarios, each of which represents a differ…
1y

@parhizj If someone knows/finds another pathway type paper let me know, please, as I did not do much scouring.

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