When will the next pandemic occur? | Manifold

When will the next pandemic occur?

8

390Ṁ510

2030

2035

expected

1H

6H

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Resolves to the current year once the WHO declares a pandemic.

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Does "WHO declares a pandemic" mean "The WHO declares a Public Health Emergency of International Concern." If not, what does it mean?

Does it resolve in 2031? To the value of 2031? What is the incentive to bet for more then?

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Will another global-scale novel pathogen emerge before the end of 2025?

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