
When will the next pandemic occur?
9
Ṁ390Ṁ6102030
2033
expected
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves to the current year once the WHO declares a pandemic.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
New pandemic in 2026? [Polymarket]
8% chance
In what year will the next pandemic occur that is as bad or worse than COVID?
2044
Will the next pandemic be worse than COVID?
When will we have another pandemic killing more people than COVID-19?
Will there be another major pandemic before the end of 2030
29% chance
Will there be another pandemic by the year 2030?
33% chance
Will there be another global pandemic before 2030?
31% chance
Will there be a pandemic at least as deadly as COVID-19 by March 1st 2044?
62% chance
Will the WHO declare another pandemic before the end of 2040?
73% chance
Will the WHO declare another pandemic before 2030?
32% chance