Resolution Criteria

This market resolves based on which players are actually selected in picks 1-5 of the 2026 NFL Draft. The draft will be held April 23–25 in Pittsburgh. Resolution will be verified through official NFL.com draft records at https://www.nfl.com/draft/tracker/picks/.

Background

Fernando Mendoza is the clear-cut favorite to go first overall in the 2026 NFL Draft, as Dante Moore has announced his return to Oregon. Mendoza, the reigning Heisman Trophy winner, stands apart in a draft class full of quarterbacks with more questions than answers. The Raiders hold the No. 1 pick, and it's highly unlikely the Raiders move off the No. 1 overall pick. The 2026 class has a strong collection of players with translatable traits: fluid athletes, competitive press defenders, and zone-savvy corners with strong instincts.

Considerations

Trades are a major part of the NFL draft conversation, as teams routinely move up or down the board to target specific players. The final draft order for picks 29-32 will be determined by the outcomes of the remaining NFL playoff games, which could affect trade activity leading up to the draft.