Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to the driver who finishes first in the 2025 Monaco Grand Prix, scheduled for Sunday, May 25, 2025. The official race results, as published by the Fédération Internationale de l'Automobile (FIA) and Formula 1, will determine the outcome. In the event of disqualification or penalties affecting the initial winner, the market will resolve to the driver officially recognized as the winner in the final race classification. Official results can be found on the Formula 1 website.

Background

The Monaco Grand Prix is renowned for its challenging street circuit, where overtaking is notoriously difficult, making qualifying positions crucial. In the 2025 season, McLaren's Lando Norris secured pole position with a record-breaking lap of 1:09.954, followed closely by Ferrari's Charles Leclerc and McLaren teammate Oscar Piastri. Notably, Lewis Hamilton, now driving for Ferrari, received a three-place grid penalty for impeding Max Verstappen during qualifying, affecting his starting position. Additionally, a new rule mandates at least two pit stops during the race, adding a strategic element to the event. (reuters.com, reuters.com, apnews.com)

Considerations

Given Monaco's tight and twisty layout, starting positions often play a significant role in race outcomes. However, the introduction of the mandatory two-stop strategy may influence team tactics and potentially alter traditional race dynamics. Traders should consider both the historical difficulty of overtaking on this circuit and the potential impact of the new pit stop regulations when making predictions.