MANIFOLD
Yudkowsky and Soares Podcast Tour
62
Ṁ2.3kṀ28k
resolved Dec 31
Resolved
YES
Ezra Klein
Resolved
YES
Risky Business with Nate Silver and Maria Konnikova
Resolved
YES
Sam Harris
Resolved
NO
Pivot
Resolved
NO
All-In
Resolved
NO
Joe Rogan
Resolved
NO
Odd Lots
Resolved
NO
Ben Shapiro
Resolved
NO
The Daily
Resolved
NO
Complex Systems (Patrick McKenzie)
Resolved
NO
Megyn Kelly
Resolved
NO
Pod Save America
Resolved
NO
Bulwark Podcast
Resolved
NO
Flagrant
Resolved
NO
Theo Von
Resolved
NO
Dwarkesh Patel
Resolved
NO
Conversations with Tyler
Resolved
NO
Econtalk
Resolved
NO
Lex Fridman
Resolved
NO
Mindscape

Resolves YES to all appearances after September 13th (date of market creation) and before EOY 2025. Add options, will N/A if it was released before 9/13.

Tracking the marketing tour for the new AI risk book If Anyone Builds It, Everyone Dies by Eliezer Yudkowsky and Nate Soares.

  • Update 2025-09-16 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - Either author qualifies: An appearance by Eliezer Yudkowsky or Nate Soares counts; both are not required.

  • Update 2025-10-15 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): For "Bulwark Podcast" answer: Only appearances on The Bulwark Podcast hosted by Tim Miller count, not other audio feeds from The Bulwark (such as "The Bulwark Goes to Hollywood").

Market context
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#TraderTotal profit
1Ṁ603
2Ṁ290
3Ṁ245
4Ṁ202
5Ṁ174
Sort by:

@JaySocrates I assume that "The Bulwark Goes to Hollywood" does not count? (And I did NOT expect it to be one of their stops lol)

@Ziddletwix I meant The Bulwark Podcast hosted by Tim Miller, not any of the other audio feeds from The Bulwark. I am also surprised about this one and surprised that I missed it!

bought Ṁ878 YES
opened a Ṁ100 YES at 40% order

does it require both authors to appear as guests?

@brod No, either

@JaySocrates can you change question to something more like "Yudkowsky, Soares podcast tour(s)" - non plural "tour" and especially "and" create another impression

@EniSci would "Yudkowsky/Soares" seem better to you?

@JaySocrates I thought about it and it seems better than "and", "/" is often used as "or", but "," seems better in the sense of meaning. Though comma looks somewhat weird, so maybe "Yudkowsky/Soares podcast tours" would be nearest to optimal?

© Manifold Markets, Inc.TermsPrivacy