Will Donald Trump be alive at the end of his term?
27
Ṁ100Ṁ8452029
83%
Yes
4%
No, dies of natural causes
12%
No, dies from assassination
0.9%
No, dies of other causes
0.3%
Will Donald Trump Sr. be alive at the 2029 inauguration? He is currently 78 and obese, and hasn’t released his medical records, which could be a bad sign.
This should be a straightforward market to resolve, but I won’t bet in it.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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