I am hereby stating that I created answers in this market to discredit all the other ones (not the ones that were also jokes). The point is to make fun of people who (pretend to) give greater-than-epsilon probability to this BS.

Some of my psyop answers were caught and N/A'd (Jews control at least one nation's government, upside-down Australia isn't real). But others were left up, including this one.

@JamesF or @mods, please resolve this as YES.

If my options alone are not enough to resolve, just look at the market as a whole. Like, after the very first usage which was unfortunately serious, Rationalussy has always been a meme, and so is the corresponding answer here.

Some people made serious options about the Hellenistic era, or the Sentinelese people, and others ran away with them in meme options.

It's time to accept it: some answers here are, and have always been, psyops to discredit all the very serious and scholarly theories espoused by other answers.

@Vesperstelo Could you be more specific? "Intersex" is a quite vague term which, today or in the next 75 years, could easily be moved around to apply to most female boxers.

@marvingardens I can't believe I'm saying this in the batshit conspiracy theory market, but

to be fair, it seems reasonable to assume this resolves based on the definition at the time of question creation.

I mean, it's not like this market exists for anything but personal signaling anyway.

@Snarflak @JamesF We will need to draw a line on the spectrum between 'let it happen' & 'failed to stop it'. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/September_11_intelligence_before_the_attacks

@MalachiteEagle https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nathan_Gill

the p320 stuff is literally proven right now...

@OKanon Hardly. The Air Force GSC story turned out to be a lie.

@GG there are youtube videos of people replicating a discharge without trigger pull

@dgga

Wyoming Gun Project went viral last year for using a screw to push a P320 trigger backwards, through the pre-travel and into the wall, stopping less than 1mm before the trigger broke. He then pushed the slide down causing the striker to drop, which would have ignited a round were it in the chamber.
2 problems with this test:

• It's not uncommanded: A competent operator keeps their finger off the trigger. If a foreign object is already pulling your trigger 95% of the way back, the safety has already been bypassed by the user/environment.

• More fundamentally, this failure is not unique. JaredAF replicates it on a Glock, and explains why any striker-fired gun with standard slide-to-frame play will fail this test if you hold the trigger at less than a millimeter before its breaking point.
  Mega-markets only give you a short space to describe your option, requiring readers to fill in the blanks. Every gun could conceivably fire if struck by lightning or put in an oven. The controversy is whether the P320 has a unique vulnerability, making it fundamentally less safe than trusted platforms like the Glock and the M&P. The WGP video proves the opposite: that under extreme, staged manipulation, the P320 behaves exactly like its competitors.

@PhilosophyBear what's your reasoning for it being so low given that he's read the report and the report repeatedly mentions him taking over?

https://manifold.markets/JamesF/what-conspiracy-theories-will-be-pr#ff0d1ghdgk5

@BrunoParga They are descended from Vulgar Latin.

@Chumchulum magnum si verum.

@AmmonLam The scientific consensus is that humans didn't evolve from modern apes, rather humans and apes share a common ancestor. Of course, you could argue that that ancestor was itself an ape, albeit different from the apes of today. But creationists talk about how "scientists think we evolved from apes", they typically mean modern apes. Hence the creationist straw-man: "If humans evolved from monkeys, why are there still monkeys?"
So if option is an allusion to what creationists think evolutionists think, it should resolve YES. If it's pointing to a more scientifically literate conspiracy theory, that humans have no ape-like ancestors, it should resolve NO in 2100.

@Slackhammer does "wealthy elite" here mean billionaires or a lower bar? Must multiple of such elite be doing it together or does just one elite with a bunch of lower down people count? The Wikipedia plot summary doesn't seem to give much info about the people involved.

@TheAllMemeingEye present-day billionaires, or inflation-adjusted billionaires from 1999 (when the movie was made)?

@BoltonBailey Why do you suppose this was resolved N/A

@Chumchulum this

@FecalAbhuman do you bet this will go up

@TheAllMemeingEye didn't this happen? Or was the south Korean cult not big enough?

@BlackCrusade Is this presently true? Which cult?

@TheAllMemeingEye it's not presently true, it was true at one point.

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/2016_South_Korean_political_scandal

@BlackCrusade ah cool, I somehow had never heard of this.

I only skimmed the article, but it looks like they proved that she used her influence to help her daughter cheat college entry and to edit the wording of some speeches, but they weren't able to prove the allegations that she was controlling wider policy, although it seems possible.

It also looks like it was mainly just one doing it (the father started the control before his daughter joined, but he died decades before Park became president), whereas a cabal is necessarily a group.

Shockingly close to counting though!

At least one UN recognised country is secretly controlled by a cabal following a religion shared by <5% of the country's population

Current most promising theory (trust me bro):

• Israel is controlled by a secret cabal of Zapotec polytheists

• Most other countries are controlled by a secret cabal of Nivkh animists

• Russia is controlled by a secret cabal from the Jewish Autonomous Oblast. I am of course referring to the local Ukrainian minority (probably part of a neo-pagan cult or something), who with 0.9% of the population are about 50% more numerous than the namesake Jewish community that merely serve as a smokescreen

• Zambia is just Zambia, by sheer force of will they have escaped control from any cabals, serving as the last shining beacon of hope for human freedom

@GG is this option an instance of MAGA's "every accusation is a confession" habit?