By making it to the Supreme Court I mean a case made against the filibuster reaches the Supreme Court. Within 5 years of the abolishment of the filibuster

Unlikely — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 8% chance (12 traders, as of Jun 30, 2024).

If the filibuster is abolished will it go to the Supreme Court within 5 years

Will there be a super majority(60 people) in the senate before the filibuster is abolished.

+6% 1d36% chance

If Republicans keep the Senate in 2026, will a Supreme Court justice leave the Court before January 3, 2029?

76% chance

Will the Senate eliminate or suspend the filibuster by the end of 2026?

8% chance

If the filibuster is abolished in the USA senate, will the Democrats be the majority at the time?

50% chance

Will Republicans abolish the filibuster before the end of 2028?

14% chance

Who during, the next Congress, will call on the next Senate to eliminate or limit the filibuster? [Add Answers]

Will the filibuster be abolished before the US adds another state.

48% chance

If Republicans take the trifecta in 2024, will they abolish the filibuster?

15% chance

Will there be a federal law banning abortion nationally within the next five years?

4% chance

Will the US Senate get rid of the filibuster before 2032?

50% chance