Will less than 2% of humanity's electricity production come from oil before 2030? | Manifold

Will less than 2% of humanity's electricity production come from oil before 2030?

17

1kṀ588

2030

84%

chance

1H

6H

1D

1W

1M

ALL

2022 had 3.10% come from oil.

I will use this data to resolve: Electricity production by source, World (ourworldindata.org )

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I'd think it would drop below 2% soon, as fuel oil power generation is just kind of a goofy concept that nobody really does anymore, and only seems to really serve as a hedge against LNG prices. I'd think the 2022 figure was a bit artificially inflated (and maybe 2023 will be too) due to the winter LNG shortage due to the Ukrainian war, and things like this happening: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-12-24/storm-elliott-news-oil-is-main-fuel-for-power-plants-in-new-england

predictedYES

although I wouldn't rule out some inefficiency in climate legislation either absolutely boosting oil usage for electricity generation, or relatively boosting it due to the legislation targeting other more prominent sources of ghg in electricity generation.

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also maybe title should be "electricity production" the source doesn't measure other sources of power production (transportation, industry, etc.)

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@brubsby Good point

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