Resolves yes if I can get free loans on liquidity in markets by EOY 2026. If it’s added to a subscription tier, must be available on a tier that costs 501 mana or less per month. Update 2026-03-21 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If free loans on liquidity are only available on some markets (e.g. ranked markets or markets with >20 traders), this will still count as resolving YES.

Unlikely — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 15% chance (7 traders, as of Mar 22, 2026).

Will Manifold add Free Loans on Liquidity by EOY 2026?

Ṁ225Ṁ468

Dec 31

15%

chance

ALL

Resolves yes if I can get free loans on liquidity in markets by EOY 2026.

If it’s added to a subscription tier, must be available on a tier that costs 501 mana or less per month.

Update 2026-03-21 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If free loans on liquidity are only available on some markets (e.g. ranked markets or markets with >20 traders), this will still count as resolving YES.

Market context

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Will Manifold create a system facilitating (and enforcing) player to player loans by EOY 2030

11% chance

Will another unofficial mana financial service/product ran by users be shut down by Manifold by EOY 2026?

69% chance

Loans against Polymarket positions widely available before EOY 2026?

12% chance

Will Manifold allow sub-1% limit orders by EOY 2026?

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Why would they offer loans on liquidity when you normally don't get it back after resolution? Most markets end around 1% or 99%, so it's not really yours anymore.