Will any US Senate election in 2026 have a winning margin of 1.000% or less?
5
Ṁ1kṀ901Dec 31
64%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves yes if any us senate election in 2026 has a winning margin of 1.000% or less.
If a senate goes to a runoff (eg. Georgia) resolves based on runoff only. First round ignored.
In Alaska and Maine with ranked choice voting, resolves yes if the final round margin is 1.000% or less.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will Democrats win 53 seats or more in the 2026 Senate elections?
46% chance
Will a Republican win in the following US Senate 2026 elections?
2026 US Senate Election: will the party of the winner of this state's senate seat go on to win senate control?
Winning Margin in 2026 Texas Senate Election?
Will the Democratic Party win a majority in the Senate in the 2026 mid-term election
62% chance
Will any U.S. congress seat up for election in 2026 be decided by less than 0.25% of votes received?
88% chance
Will any candidate get 50.000% or more of the vote in the 2026 Senate election In Texas?
58% chance
Will the Libertarian candidate in the 2026 US Senate Election in Texas get 1% or more of the vote?
75% chance
Tipping point state vote margin for Dem Senate majority in 2026?
Will there be a significant polling error at the 2026 US midterm elections?
43% chance