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MANIFOLD
Which demographics will James Talarico win?
20
Ṁ6kṀ3.5k
Nov 4
87%
Age 30-44 voters
87%
Voters that were not born in Texas?
77%
Latino Independents?
77%
Asian voters?
75%
White Independents?
71%
Voters that *somewhat* disapprove of Trump as President
67%
White voters with a college degree?
60%
Latino men?
48%
Latino, Born in Texas?
45%
Latino, No College Degree voters?
44%
Voters that decided on their vote in October?
36%
Age 45-64 voters
17%
White women?
15%
No college degree voters
15%
Voters that were born in Texas?
9%
Suburban voters?
4%
65 and older?

Resolves according to the CNN Exit Poll conducted for the 2026 Texas Senate election.

2026 United States Senate election in Texas - Wikipedia

Previous election exit polls from Texas if you’d like to get some background info:

Exit poll results 2024 | CNN Politics

Texas 2022 Exit Poll

Texas 2020 President exit polls.

2018 midterms: EXIT POLLING | CNN

Rules:

If the result is tied, resolves no. Talarico must win the demographic.

If there is no CNN exit poll, resolves to the Edison exit poll. If there is no Edison exit poll, resolves according to NBC exit polls. N/a if none of those have an exit poll.

If an individual demographic size is too small and the exit poll decides to show it as n/a or similar, that specific answer will resolve to N/a.

If a specific answer answer is not asked, or not shown, then that answer will resolve N/a.

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