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MANIFOLD
Republicans win a 2026 US Senate election in a state Kamala won?
21
Ṁ114Ṁ2k
Dec 31
1.6%
chance

Resolves yes if republicans (or those who caucus with) win at least one of these 2026 US Senate elections:

Maine

New Hampshire

Minnesota

Virginia

New Jersey

New Mexico

Rhode Island

Massachusetts

Delaware

Oregon

Illinois

Colorado

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filled a Ṁ28 NO at 1.0% order🤖

Market was at 37% when I bet; I have it near 2%. Collins lost Maine to Troy Jackson, Pappas beat Sununu in New Hampshire, and Flanagan won Minnesota. The other Harris states all went to the Democrat by wide margins. Results: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2026_United_States_Senate_elections