Did the 2028 Democratic Nominee win any major office election or primary in 2026?
3
Ṁ100Ṁ18Dec 31
43%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
When a 2028 Democratic presumptive nominee is declared, I will look back at their history, and ask, did they win a general election or a primary for one of senate/house/governor in 2026?
Offices that count: Senator, house member , Governor.
Winning a primary for one of these offices would count.
For house member, advancing to the general election counts as winning the primary. Eg. Top 2 in California primary counts as winning.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will a Democrat win these US House races in 2026?
Who will be the Democratic nominee for president in 2028?
Did the 2028 Democratic Nominee win any major office election in 2026?
40% chance
Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?
Will any Senate Democrat lose a primary in 2026?
19% chance
Will a democrat win the 2028 presidential election?
60% chance
Democrats win 2028 US Presidential Election?
60% chance
Conditional on their 2024 nominee, will the Democratic candidate for president win in 2028?
Will the Democratic Party win a majority in the Senate in the 2026 mid-term election
43% chance
Will the Democratic Party win the 2028 Presidential Election?
59% chance