Tesla aims to expand its robotaxi service across the U.S. This market resolves to 'Yes' if Tesla's robotaxi service is available in areas encompassing at least 50% of the U.S. population by December 31, 2025. Verification will be based on official Tesla announcements and reputable news sources. Source

Elon Musk has stated this is likely while on the 2025 2nd Quarter results call.

To clarify, For this to be yes the following must occur:

1. The operating zone must cover at least 50% of the US population.

2. The application must be available for every day users in those zones. No invite only, not just employee testing.

3. It cannot have a safety user in the vehicle or tele-operating. A backup user available to respond if needed ala Wayma is okay.