MANIFOLD
Conditional on USA annexing Greenland, how much time will pass before it is reversed?
6
Ṁ225Ṁ152
2034
4%
<1 month
4%
1-3 months
4%
3-6 months
4%
6-12 months
10%
1-2 years
24%
2-4 years
24%
4-8 years
25%
8+ years
3%
Other

This market resolves if the U.S. formally annexes Greenland and, if so, how many months pass before the annexation is formally reversed. Both annexation and reversal must occur via official U.S. government action (e.g., Congressional legislation or executive action).

If the U.S. doesn't formally annex Greenland and reverse it by 2034, the market resolves N/A. If annexation occurs but is never formally reversed, the market resolves to “8+ years.” Timing is measured from the date of formal annexation to the date of formal reversal.

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Can you give an example of an "other" resolution?

@marvingardens There is no such example. I apologize for the error.

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