Will total US military expenditure top its all-time high by 2024?
Plus
19
Ṁ423Jan 1
23%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
https://ourworldindata.org/military-spending
2010 was the year with the highest total US military spending so far. This market resolves to yes if Our World in Data (or a suitable replacement if it stops being a reliable source) shows the military spending of 2022, 2023, or 2024 to be above the 2010 total, adjusted for inflation. If they're all lower (or the US is no longer a country at that point), this resolves to no. If that data becomes completely unavailable, this resolves to N/A.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Sort by:
Unless something significant changes before end of 2024, this resolves no (e.g. the current 2024 budget is below the 2010, inflation adjusted).
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Military_budget_of_the_United_States#Budget_by_year
Related questions
Related questions
What will be the total dollar value of US arms sales to Taiwan in 2024?
Will US still have the highest military spending among all countries by 2100?
52% chance
Will The US be at at war with another country by the end of 2024?
11% chance
Will US military aid to Ukraine decrease by more than 10% in 2024 compared to 2023?
52% chance
Will NATO spend combined more than $2 trillion on defence by 2028?
64% chance
Will the US have 200,000 overseas active-duty military personnel before 2030?
51% chance
Will the US CY 2024 deficit be higher in 2024 than 2023 as a proportion of GDP?
26% chance
Will the 2025 US federal deficit be >$1.7T?
69% chance
Will 18 or more countries in NATO spend 2% of their GDP on defense in 2024?
86% chance
Will the US Deficit be higher at the end of 2025 than at the end of 2024?
68% chance