Conditional on no existential catastrophe, will there be a superintelligence by 2100?
108
1.4kṀ60292100
87%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Related questions
Related questions
IF artificial superintelligence exists by 2030, will AI wipe out humanity by 2030? [resolves N/A in 2027]
35% chance
Will artificial superintelligence exist by 2030? [resolves N/A in 2027]
42% chance
Will there be a massive catastrophe caused by AI before 2030?
31% chance
Conditional on no existential catastrophe, will there be a superintelligence by 2050?
80% chance
Conditional on no existential catastrophe, will there be a superintelligence by 2040?
70% chance
Conditional on no existential catastrophe, will there be a superintelligence by 2030?
44% chance
Conditional on no existential catastrophe, will there be a superintelligence by 2075?
87% chance
Will humanity wipe out superintelligent AI before 2040?
15% chance
Will superintelligent AI take over humanity by 2030?
18% chance
Will a sentient AI system have existed before 2030? [Resolves to 2100 expert consensus]
42% chance