Will Scott Aaronson ever pay out his $100,000 award for a demonstration that scalable quantum computing is impossible in the physical world?

📖Will @ScottAlexander write an all-time post (see description) by 2035?

Will Scott Alexander release another (50k+ words) fictional work before 2035?

Will Scott Alexander be found to have committed fraud before 2030?

Will Scott Alexander do anything before 2030 that I personally would consider highly unethical?

Will Scott Aaronson ever pay out any award for a discovery that dramatically weakens the possibility of scalable quantum computing?

Will AI convincingly mimic Scott Alexander's writing in style, depth, and insight before 2026?

Which Scott Aaronson AI world will come to pass?

Will Scott Alexander (psychiatrist and writer) be arrested before 2030?

Will Scott Alexander be the subject of a public scandal within his social circle before 2030?