Will Manifold be the subject of external controversy involving at least 100,000 people by the end of 2023?
Basic
38
Ṁ2230
resolved Apr 15
Resolved
NO

Some examples that could resolve this to YES:

  • A Twitter thread that goes viral about how inappropriate a certain market question is.

  • A Twitter thread that goes viral about how Manifold as a platform allows people to incentivize assassinations or other bad actions.

  • A strongly critical news article on Manifold that achieves significant community spread.

A calm, well-reasoned discussion about the pros and cons of Manifold doesn't count. There must be outrage and anger in order for this to resolve YES.

Markets on various sizes of controversy:

#Manifold
#Barcalona
#New Year's Resolutions 2024
Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
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📢Resolved to NO; If this is incorrect, the creator can correct since they are a mod


@IsaacKing Can you resolve the 3 remaining "Controversy" markets , please?

Do all 100k people have to be outraged?

How involved does a person have to be to count (e.g is liking a tweet enough?)

@TomCohen Yeah, likes count. They don't all have to be outraged, they just need to be involved. (For example, 50k people attacking Manifold and 50k people defending Manifold would count.)

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